Archive for May 19th, 2008

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Display ads are hurting while online search ads remain strong, the New York Times reports today. Specifically, PubMatic, an advertising-technology company in Palo Alto, CA that runs an online-pricing index, found the prices paid for on the internet ads purchased through ad networks dropped 23% from March to April 2008.

This drop in pricing has injured some companies’ results:

  • Time Warner Inc. (NYSE: TWX)’s AOL, parent of BloggingStocks, saw an 18% decline in display advertising revenue to $191 million.
  • The New York Times‘ (NYSE: NYT) World wide web ad revenues increased 16%; a year earlier, though, they increased 20%.
  • WebMD Health (NASDAQ: WBMD) revised down its 2008 revenue guidance to a range of $380 million to $395 million, from a range of $395 million to $415 million thanks to lower expected ad revenues.

The good news? Surprise! — Google Inc. (NASDAQ: GOOG). In the most recent quarter, Google had a profit of $1.31 billion on revenues of $5.19 billion. Its United States revenue was up 30%. The reason is that display ads don’t offer a tangible payoff to advertisers whereas search ads do.

Advertisers are simply trying to maximize their returns on the advertising investment (ROAI). If someone comes along and offers a higher ROAI than Google, advertisers will switch to that provider. Meanwhile, those stuck with display advertising will suffer at Google’s hands.

Peter Cohan is President of Peter S. Cohan & Associates. He also teaches management at Babson College and edits The Cohan Letter. He has no financial interest in the securities mentioned.

 

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Shares of companies like Coach (NYSE: COH) were flying high when more people than ever were flocking to waste their money on stuff they couldn’t afford.

Right at the top of the market, predictably, all the lower-end retailers thought they’d get into the act. Gap (NYSE: GPS)’s Banana Republic introduced a high-end line, and so did Coldwater Creek (NASDAQ: CWTR), Cache (NASDAQ: CACH) and AnnTaylor (NYSE: ANN). According to the Wall Street Journal (subscription required), the economic downturn gave the companies a strong rebuke. Cache is closing some of its Cache Luxe stores and Coldwater Creek is giving up on its high-end aspirations.

But I don’t think it’s the economic downturn that doomed these product launches. Luxury clothing is in a tough spot, but it’s certainly fared a lot superior than upper-middle market companies like Liz Claiborne (NYSE: LIZ) and Coldwater Creek. Rather, I think companies are using a pretty familiar tactic: blame failed strategies on the economy and minimize the impact of tactical errors made by seven-figure executives.

Here’s why the strategy failed: taking a brand and raising the quality/price-point is extremely difficult. The reverse is easy, but trying to convince people to pay Coach-like prices for Banana Republic clothing — even if it’s of similar quality — is a strategy that’s destined to fail. Banana Republic has established itself at a certain price point and while people would be thrilled to get the brand at a lower price, most people willing to pay more will want a bona fide luxury label.

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